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Sean Ross On Radio Insight RadioInsight

Who Had The Hits In 2021?

Sean Rossby Sean Ross
2

 

Olivia Rodrigo Good 4 YouIn 2021, current-based formats visibly struggled, even compared to radio overall, and as a result, new music became harder for radio to break. Top 40 joined Alternative and Hip-Hop/R&B in the 3-4 share region, or lower, meaning that a radio hit as obvious as “Levitating” could take months to register in their own research. Country felt and still fought the effects of its streaming rivals, at least until “Fancy Like” became too big to deny. 

Last year, only two formats had significantly more songs crack the top 20 than they did in 2020, according to BDSradio. Triple-A was no surprise, posting notable gains for the second year in a row. Triple-A was the only format with more than 100 top 20 songs last year, meaning the only format to manage even two breakthrough hits per week. But Mainstream Top 40 also rebounded from a particularly slow year.

We’ve been tracking the number of top 20 hits per format since 2013 and on an annual basis since 2018 with the help of BDSradio’s Adam Foster. Playing more new music doesn’t always equate with higher ratings, as shown by the continued strength of Mainstream AC. There is certainly no sign of a consistent Top 40 resurgence yet, and we are already seeing signs of the holiday downturn that decimated CHR last winter. But when programmers feel that there was a consistent supply of reasonably varied new music, it’s usually a good moment for a format.

It is worth noting that Triple-A, usually considered the most specialized of radio formats, did have some flagship successes last year, particularly KEXP Seattle and KUTX Austin, Texas, showing the sort of 6-plus numbers that rarely go with eclectic programming. Triple-A music in 2021 wasn’t visibly driven by any one or two artists, but by a wide variety of projects, including many of the acts who drove the “true.alt” movement more than a decade ago (Modest Mouse, Weezer, Strokes, Cage the Elephant, etc.).  

Top 40 had more superstar product—Adele, Ed Sheeran, and Dua Lipa’s levitation to core artist. And while both Olivia Rodrigo and Lil Nas X came to radio’s door with streaming stories created elsewhere, Top 40 was the primary radio home of those two biggest-acts-of-the-year. In the summer, CHR benefited from almost weekly product from major artists. By year’s end, however, that supply seemed evaporate, not unlike the national optimism that accompanied it. As 2022 begins, the six-month-old “Stay” by the Kid Laroi & Justin Bieber is still lodged at No. 2 and in power rotation, not unlike “Blinding Lights” a year ago. 

Country was effectively flat in terms of new product compared to a year ago, although it did push ahead of the Mainstream AC format again. The failure of artists to thank Country radio at last fall’s CMA Awards reverberated throughout the format, highlighting the greater ability of streaming and national radio platforms to set the agenda. In 2022, it will be interesting to see if the ability of “Fancy Like” to jump the line in the format’s nearly-year-long record-breaking process is a sea change or an anomaly.

Here’s this year’s ranking of top 20 hits by format and what we wrote last year.

2020 Rank 2021 Rank Format 2013 2016 2018 2019 2020 2021 2013-now 2020-21
2 1 Triple-A 93 94 100 99 104 112 19 8
1 2 Rhythmic Top 40 103 107 106 108 106 99 -4 -7
3 3 Hip-Hop/R&B 94 98 104 98 96 98 4 2
7 4 Top 40 105 96 87 89 85 97 -8 -8
5 5 Active Rock 82 88 92 88 91 88 6 -3
4 6 Christian AC n/a n/a n/a 82 92 86 n/a -6
8 7 Alternative 91 75 84 82 84 81 -10 -3
6 8 Adult Top 40 88 90 82 84 88 80 -8 -8
9 9 Adult R&B 76 71 75 77 78 80 4 2
11 10 Country 95 89 85 78 73 74 -21 1
10 11 Mainstream AC 83 81 69 73 75 73 -10 -2
WP Data Tables

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Comments 2

  1. jaxxalude's avatar jaxxalude says:
    4 years ago

    Playing more new music doesn’t always equate with higher ratings, as shown by the continued strength of Mainstream AC. (…) But when programmers feel that there was a consistent supply of reasonably varied new music, it’s usually a good moment for a format.

    I’d say there’s also another factor that would be an indication of health for a format: breaking new acts. Have you ever thought about doing that exercise: how many new acts were broken by a format each and every year?
    This occurred to me when I saw how Active Rock broke more hits than Alternative. Fine. But we all know how Active Rock has been stuck in a rut for quite a long time when it comes to the acts it plays – not unlike AOR’s fixation on fading classic rock stars during the 80’s while MTV was breaking both new wave and glam metal.
    What do you think, Sean?

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    • Sean Ross's avatar Sean Ross says:
      4 years ago

      That’s an excellent metric, also. You might also ask “how many acts broken by this format finally crossed to other formats?” Alternative has a steady stream of new product (and I often think some pretty decent music) but those songs and acts don’t cross over.

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Sean Ross

Sean Ross

Sean Ross is a radio business researcher, programming consultant, conference speaker, and a veteran of radio trade journalism at Billboard, Radio & Records, M Street Journal, and others. For more than a decade, his weekly writings have been collected in the Ross On Radio newsletter; subscribe for free here. https://tinyurl.com/mhcnx4u

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